Archive | April, 2011

3.Liga – Matchday 36 – The Permutations

29 Apr

Eintracht Braunschweigcan clinch the title with:

Last week Hansa secured promotion

  • a win vs Stuttgart II OR
  • a draw and Hansa Rostock draw vs Wehen Wiesbaden
  • a loss and a Hansa Rostock loss

Hansa Rostock have already secured promotion.

The play-off place cannot be clinched this week. Teams still in contention:

  • Rot-Weiβ Erfurt (3rd, 58 pts, +19) who host Jahn Regensburg (11th)
  • Dynamo Dresden (4th, 58 pts, +15) who play at Babelsberg (12th)
  • Wehen Wiesbaden (5th, 58 pts, +14) who play at Hansa Rostock (2nd)
  • Kickers Offenbach (6th, 57 pts, +11) who host Carl Zeiss Jena (15th)

With Bayern Munich IIs already down, Werder Bremen II can join them with:

  • a loss vs Sandhausen and a Wacker Burghausen win (vs Heidenheim) and a winning result in the VfR Aalen vs Rot-Weiβ Ahlen game.
  • a draw and a Wacker Burghausen win and an Aalen win

From the Regionals 

In the Regionalliga West, Preußen Münster can clinch promotion to the third tier with:

  • a win at Elversberg and a Borussia M’gladbach II loss (vs Wuppertaler) and an Eintracht Trier draw/loss (at Homburg)

2.Bundesliga – Week 32 – Clinching Scenarios

29 Apr

Hertha won promotion in Duisburg and can win the league this week

Hertha Berlin can clinch the title with:

  • a win vs 1860 Munich OR
  • an Augsburg loss at Energie Cottbus OR
  • a draw and an Augsburg draw

Augsburg can clinch promotion with:

  • a win at Energie Cottbus and a Bochum draw/loss (vs Union Berlin)
  • n.b. a draw for Augsburg coupled with a Bochum loss and a Fürth (vs Arminia Bielefeld) draw/loss would see them all but mathematically promoted [24 goal swing needed]

Augsburg can clinch a play-off spot with:

  • a win OR
  • a draw and a Fürth draw OR
  • a loss and Fürth loss and an Aue draw/loss (at Ingolstadt)

With Arminia Bielefeld already gone, no relegations can be confirmed in the 2.Bundesliga this weekend. BUT…

Paderborn can clinch survival with:

  • a win vs Osnabrück and an Oberhausen draw/loss at Aachen OR
  • a win and a Karlsruher loss

Ingolstadt can clinch survival with:

  • a win vs Aue OR
  • a draw and two of the following: Karlsruher loss; Osnabrück draw/loss; Oberhausen draw/loss OR
  • a loss and Osnabrück lose and Oberhausen lose.

Bundesliga – Week 32 – Who can clinch what?

28 Apr

The Title

Borussia Dortmund (1st, 69 pts) will win their 7th German Championship with a win over Nürnberg if Bayer Leverkusen (2nd, 64pts) fail to win at Köln.

The Champions League

Leverkusen can guarantee themselves Champions League football next season by beating Köln.

Hannover 96 moved a point above Bayern Munich (4th, 56 pts) last week and can consolidate 3rd with a home win against an upbeat ‘Gladbach side this weekend. Bayern host fierce rivals Schalke needing a win to stay within touching distance of 96. Ralf Rangnick faces a difficult dilemma of what side to pick on Saturday evening – does he sacrifice the rivalry game in order to prioritise Wednesday’s semi-final in Manchester?

Already assured at least a Europa League spot, die Roten will be participating in European competition for the first time since 1992 next season. If they win and Bayern lose, one win from their final two matches would see them into Europe’s premier club competition for the first time in their history.

Final two fixtures:

  • Hannover 96 – Stuttgart (A), Nürnberg (H)
  • Bayern Munich – St Pauli (A), Stuttgart (H)

The Europa League

With either Hannover or Bayern Munich extremely likely pick up 4th, only one spot remains. With Hamburg now out of the picture, Mainz 05 (5th, 49 pts) and Nürnberg (6th, 47 pts) are left to battle it out for 5th.

A 0-0 draw between the two last Sunday evening kept Mainz in pole position, and a win for 05 (at home to Eintracht

Can Nürnberg catch Mainz?

Frankfurt) coupled with a Nürnberg loss (at Borussia Dortmund) would almost, but not quite, clinch European football for Thomas Tuchel’s side.

Final two fixtures:

  • Mainz 05 – Schalke (A), St Pauli (H)
  • Nürnberg – Hoffenheim (H), Hannover 96 (A)

The Relegation Battle

St. Pauli (18th, 29 pts) and Borussia M’gladbach (17th,29 pts) could both be all but mathematically relegated should they lose at the weekend and:

  • Wolfsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt both win, Köln pick up a point.

Pauli travel to Kaiserslautern (12th, 37 pts), who can confirm safety with a win, on Friday night desperately seeking three points. Last Saturday ‘Gladbach moved off the bottom to give their rather sore shoulders a rest by surprisingly beating Dortmund at home. They had been propping up the rest since week 13. They’ll have to win again, this week in Hannover, to retain any hopes of escaping the bottom three.

Can 'Gladbach defy the odds again and win at Hannover?

Werder Bremen (11th, 38 pts) did themselves a huge favour last week by winning at now-bottom St. Pauli. They can dispel all fears of relegation by beating play-off incumbents Wolfsburg (16th, 32 pts) tomorrow night. Defeat would reduce their cushion to just three points with two to play.

Felix Magath’s side, who picked up a vital three points against Köln last Sunday, could jump out of the play-off spot with a win if either Eintracht or Köln lose. They could, however, find themselves five points adrift of safety should they lose, that pair win and Stuttgart pick up a point.

Only a huge defeat and a big ‘Gladbach or Pauli win would see Wolfsburg drop into the bottom two.

Köln (14th, 35 pts) have had a disastrous few weeks culminating in the immediate resignation of Frank Schäfer. Three big defeats to teams below them have dragged them back into the scrap. Hosting Bayer Leverkusen, the Bundesliga’s form side, is not really what they need knowing a defeat could see them drop to 16th.

Despite picking up a valuable point at home to Bayern last weekend, Eintracht Frankfurt (15th, 34 pts) slid closer to the play-off spot as Wolfsburg won. Frankfurt came within a minute of beating Bayern – a win that would’ve given them significant breathing space. As it is, if Wolfsburg win again and Köln aren’t beaten, even if the Eagles pick up a point at Mainz, Frankfurt will occupy 16th going into the final two weekends.

Stuttgart (13th, 36 pts) scored three for the second week running pick up another three points last weekend. A win and a Wolfsburg loss sees them safe.