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The Second Tier: Season Preview

13 Jul

Hi everyone, it’s been a while. Thanks to all for being so patient for the last month whilst I’ve been away but as promised, I’m back and ready for the start of the 2.Bundesliga season on Friday. Here we go…

It’s the 13th July. In just two days time, before the extremely successful Women’s World Cup has drawn to a close, Germany’s unified second division will kick off for a 20th time. It seems a bizarre time to be starting a season – in the height of summer – but when voted on, only tiny FSV Frankfurt opposed the motion. (Although Bochum gaffer Friedhelm Funkel didn’t mince his words when more recently slating the ‘shit’ decision.)

Of course then, FSV would be one of the four teams to get the ball rolling. The other three – East German outfits.

Last season was something of a renaissance for former DDR-Oberliga sides. Although 2011/12 will be the third year running that all eighteen sides in the top tier are from the former West, both Hansa Rostock and Dynamo Dresden were promoted from the 3.Liga. With Union Berlin, Energie Cottbus and Erzgebirge Aue also there, the 2.Bundesliga will have five representatives from the former East – the most since the league was unified in 1992/1993.

Eintracht have required well since relegation

So what can we expect from this season, save for some feisty games between these Eastern sides and culture-club St. Pauli? It could be the most competitive promotion race in years. Assuming Eintracht live up to their billing – you can only get around 2/1 on them ending up champions – the fight for second and third could involve any two from around 10 teams.

The relegation battle could be equally as tense. The promoted clubs will be looking to get to around 37 points as quick as possible, and the teams that narrowly avoided the drop last season – Ingolstadt, Paderborn, Karlsruhe and the likes – are all likely to struggle again whilst teams like Union, FSV and even a side like Aachen could be dragged in.

So what do we think will happen? I’ll start with my expectations but please feel free to add to the debate below! It’s always a good laugh come May when we’ve accurately predicted nothing but our own idiocy.

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2.Bundesliga – Week 32 – Clinching Scenarios

29 Apr

Hertha won promotion in Duisburg and can win the league this week

Hertha Berlin can clinch the title with:

  • a win vs 1860 Munich OR
  • an Augsburg loss at Energie Cottbus OR
  • a draw and an Augsburg draw

Augsburg can clinch promotion with:

  • a win at Energie Cottbus and a Bochum draw/loss (vs Union Berlin)
  • n.b. a draw for Augsburg coupled with a Bochum loss and a Fürth (vs Arminia Bielefeld) draw/loss would see them all but mathematically promoted [24 goal swing needed]

Augsburg can clinch a play-off spot with:

  • a win OR
  • a draw and a Fürth draw OR
  • a loss and Fürth loss and an Aue draw/loss (at Ingolstadt)

With Arminia Bielefeld already gone, no relegations can be confirmed in the 2.Bundesliga this weekend. BUT…

Paderborn can clinch survival with:

  • a win vs Osnabrück and an Oberhausen draw/loss at Aachen OR
  • a win and a Karlsruher loss

Ingolstadt can clinch survival with:

  • a win vs Aue OR
  • a draw and two of the following: Karlsruher loss; Osnabrück draw/loss; Oberhausen draw/loss OR
  • a loss and Osnabrück lose and Oberhausen lose.